According to the patch notes you can mistake them, i.e. it looks like waxing, but is waning. I have not confirmed this personally though.
The chances to mistake them are low with high proficiencies. I'm not sure how low exactly. Since getting posioned by mushrooms is just a bit annoying, nothing else, avoiding toadstools entirely creates more problems than it solves. You would have to spend much more time foraging for your mushroom pies.